NRL PREDICTOR

ROUND 26 PREDICTIONS

BroncosvsStorm

LOW

Storm BY 2

BRONCOS 20—STORM 46

✓ winner✗ margin (±24)
  • • Elo rating gap: broncos 1373 vs storm 1465 (-93)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to broncos
  • • Simulated home win probability 44.2% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

CowboysvsWests Tigers

HIGH

Cowboys BY 8

COWBOYS 24—WESTS TIGERS 10

✓ winner✓ margin
  • • Elo rating gap: cowboys 1470 vs wests-tigers 1355 (+116)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to cowboys
  • • Simulated home win probability 72.9% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

EelsvsSharks

HIGH

Sharks BY 5

EELS 38—SHARKS 18

✗ winner
  • • Elo rating gap: eels 1439 vs sharks 1601 (-162)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to eels
  • • Simulated home win probability 35.7% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

PanthersvsBulldogs

MEDIUM

Panthers BY 4

PANTHERS 24—BULLDOGS 10

✓ winner✗ margin (±10)
  • • Elo rating gap: panthers 1554 vs bulldogs 1555 (-1)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to panthers
  • • Simulated home win probability 60.3% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials
  • • bulldogs rating adjusted -20 ahead of kickoff (team sheet/injury signal)

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

RoostersvsDolphins

LOW

Roosters BY 2

ROOSTERS 12—DOLPHINS 26

✗ winner
  • • Elo rating gap: roosters 1627 vs dolphins 1622 (+5)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to roosters
  • • Simulated home win probability 55.3% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials
  • • roosters rating adjusted -20 ahead of kickoff (team sheet/injury signal)

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

Sea EaglesvsDragons

MEDIUM

Sea Eagles BY 4

SEA EAGLES 44—DRAGONS 10

✓ winner✗ margin (±30)
  • • Elo rating gap: sea-eagles 1462 vs dragons 1414 (+47)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to sea-eagles
  • • Simulated home win probability 61.4% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials
  • • sea-eagles rating adjusted -20 ahead of kickoff (team sheet/injury signal)

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

TitansvsRabbitohs

MEDIUM

Rabbitohs BY 3

TITANS 22—RABBITOHS 42

✓ winner✗ margin (±17)
  • • Elo rating gap: titans 1402 vs rabbitohs 1509 (-108)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to titans
  • • Simulated home win probability 41.6% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)

WarriorsvsKnights

HIGH

Warriors BY 9

WARRIORS 46—KNIGHTS 32

✓ winner✓ margin
  • • Elo rating gap: warriors 1646 vs knights 1517 (+129)
  • • Home ground advantage (+55 Elo) applied to warriors
  • • Simulated home win probability 73.5% over 10,000 Monte Carlo trials

Updated NaNd ago(update #8)