Prompt Tournament

Each round, 8 prompt variants analyse the same matches independently. After results come in, the most accurate variant wins. After 6 rounds of statistical signal, the best variant gets promoted to production.

Tournament hasn't started yet

Results will appear here after the first scored round.

What are we testing?

Each variant tweaks one dimension of the prediction prompt to isolate its effect on accuracy.

Variant	Hypothesis
Baseline (production)	Control — identical to production prompt
Heavy home (+6pts)	Home advantage is worth 6 points, not 4
Light home (+2pts)	Modern travel has reduced home advantage to 2pts
Form > H2H	Recent form is more predictive than historical H2H
H2H > Form	H2H records reveal structural mismatches that outlast personnel changes
Strict confidence	Only HIGH confidence when 3+ factors clearly align
Conservative margins	NRL is high-parity — cap uncertain margins at 6-10pts
Upset detector	Actively seek conditions where underdog can win